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![]() Vulture Capitalist, ...beware... 'left gatekeeper' |
Connect the dots: Carnaby, Russian Israeli mob, Abramoff, 911
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| The threat to a fistful of petrodollars By Liam Halligan (Filed: 23/04/2006) | |
| From Russia, you might say, with love. This weekend, Alexei
Kudrin, Russia's finance minister, dropped a bombshell in
Washington. Attending the annual meetings of the World Bank and
International Monetary Fund, Kudrin
caused his American hosts discomfort by openly questioning the dollar's
pre-eminence as the world's "absolute" reserve currency.
The greenback's recent volatility and the yawning US trade deficit, "are definitely causing concern with regard to its reserve currency status," he said. "The international community can hardly be satisfied with this instability." Kudrin's intervention coincided with another meeting, also in Washington, of finance ministers and central bankers from the Group of Seven - which doesn't include Russia. Top of the agenda: the effect of ever-rising oil prices on inflation and interest rates. G7 countries are worried the spiraling price of crude - which closed at $72.79 a barrel on Friday and which has now trebled in three years - could inflict real economic damage. The US Federal Reserve, in particular, has been forced to take drastic action - raising interest rates 15 times since June 2004 to keep inflation in check. Given that fragility, it is significant that Kudrin is now wondering aloud if the long-standing dollar hegemony can last. For him to do so is to highlight that America is vulnerable should that status be lost. That's because Russia, with its awesome oil and gas reserves, could kick-start a challenge to the dollar's supremacy. Most nations stockpile their foreign exchange holdings in dollars. The US currency accounts for more than two thirds of all central bank reserves worldwide. This reserve status means that the dollar is constantly in demand, whatever the underlying strength of the US economy. And now, with massive trade and budget deficits to finance, America is increasingly reliant on that status. The unprecedented weight of US liabilities means a threat to the dollar's dominance could result in a currency collapse, plunging the world's largest economy into recession. That won't happen immediately. The dollar has sat astride the globe for some time now - in fact, for most of the last century. But this statement from Russia - a country of growing financial and strategic significance - still caused the dollar to slide. It also fuelled speculation that central banks could increasingly diversify their holdings away from dollars. Kudrin's statement followed news that Sweden has cut its dollar holdings, from 37 per cent of central bank reserves to 20 per cent, with the euro's share rising to 50 per cent. Central banks in some Gulf states have also lately mooted a shift into the euro. Such sentiments helped push the dollar to a seven-month low against the single currency last week. But Russia's intervention will have raised eyebrows in Washington because the backbone of the dollar's reserve currency status - the main guarantee that status continues -is the fact that oil is traded in dollars. And that is something the likes of Kudrin can directly affect. For historic reasons, the dollar remains the world's "petrocurrency" - the only currency for the settlement of oil contracts on world markets. That makes the EU and Russia dependent on it. But with central banks switching to euros, the logical next step would be for fuel-exporting countries to start quoting oil prices in euros too. The EU is Russia's main trading partner. More than two thirds of Russia's oil and gas is exported to the EU. That makes Russia a strong candidate to become the first major oil exporter to start trading in euros. Such a scenario, in recent years, has become theoretically possible. But now, with these latest comments, Kudrin has thrust that possibility into the open. The G7 meeting was dominated, of course, by concern over Iran's nuclear programme. The threat of military action against Iran, itself a major crude exporter, is one reason oil prices are now testing record highs. It is worth noting that Tehran has ongoing plans to set up an oil trading exchange to compete with New York's NYMEX and with London's International Petroleum Exchange. In the light of Kudrin's comments, it is significant that the Iranians want to run their oil bourse in euros, not dollars. Were the Iranians to establish a Middle-East based euro-only oil exchange, the dollar's unique petrocurrency status could unravel. That, in turn, would threaten its broader dominance - which, given America's groaning twin deficit, could seriously hurt the US economy. Some cite this as the real reason the US wants to attack Iran: to protect the dollar's unique position. I wouldn't go that far, but the prospect of a non-dollar oil exchange in Tehran is certainly an aggravating factor. The opening of Iran's new oil exchange has recently been delayed. But, having spoken with numerous officials in Tehran, and western consultants who've been working with the Iranians for several years, I think it will go ahead. The exchange entity has already been legally incorporated in Iran and a site purchased to house administrative and regulatory staff. The reality is that as long as most of Opec's oil - read Saudi Arabia - is priced in dollars, the US currency will retain its hegemony. But the opening of an oil bourse in Tehran, which now looks likely, will signal at least tacit Saudi consent for euro-based oil trading. The US knows this, which is why it is nervous about the dollar's status being questioned. From the G7's fringe, Kudrin has now touched this raw nerve. This weekend's meetings have been dominated by questions of global financial imbalance - in particular, America's huge deficits. Kudrin's missive comes as central bankers, and currency dealers, start to conclude the only way to resolve the massive US external deficit is a somewhat weaker US currency. As the IMF itself warned yesterday, a "substantial" dollar decline may be needed. One way to bring that about would be for the euro to enter the global oil trading system. This is unlikely to happen soon. It might not happen at all. But the idea is now not only realistic but firmly on the table in Washington. Perhaps not with love, but it was placed there by the Russians. Liam Halligan is Economics Correspondent at Channel 4 News
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| The
Secrets Behind ‘State Secrets’:
How Turkey's
Mafia-like 'Deep State' (and its Neocon Friends) Penetrated the American
Government by an internet researcher French
filmmaker Mathieu Verboud is set to release a new documentary for European
television this fall, which will reveal important new insights into the
case of former FBI translator and president of the National
Security Whistleblower’s Coalition Sibel
Edmonds. Edmonds, a
Turkish-American whose wrongful termination lawsuit was suppressed by the
government’s invocation of the all-too-common
“state secrets privilege”, reported to her superiors espionage and
deliberate mistranslations on the part of fellow Turkish translator, Melek
Can Dickerson. It seems
Ms. Dickerson had relationships with targets of FBI
investigation working at the Turkish Embassy and the American
Turkish Council, a fact which meant that anything she translated was
likely to be false. However,
instead of receiving a promotion for bringing Ms. Dickerson’s’
espionage to the attention of her bosses, Edmonds was fired after she went
in frustration to the U.S. Senate. The
FBI refused to investigate Edmonds’ claims, at least in part, because
the contract linguist had discovered quite a messy scandal: the content
of the mistranslated documents revealed that some very powerful people in
the U.S. government, including House Speaker Dennis Hastert, were
connected to foreign organized crime.
Even worse, these foreign criminals connected to the high and
mighty in the U.S. were also connected internationally, through the heroin
trade and associated money laundering, to international terrorist
organizations like al Qaeda. Okay,
take a deep breath and take a step back: it’s not a pretty picture.
According to what we know so far from Sibel Edmonds’ many
interviews and from the groundbreaking story on her case from Vanity
Fair, “An
Inconvenient Patriot” , Edmonds found that within the U.S. a nest of
Turkish spies, some working at the Turkish embassy, others affiliated with
namely the Assembly of Turkish American
Associations (ATAA), the American
Turkish Associations (ATA) and the
American Turkish Council (ATC), were involved in espionage, bribery,
illegal lobbying, drug trafficking and the infiltration of U.S nuclear
research labs. Separately, from
a former CIA Counterterrorism official, Phillip Giraldi, who himself
was once based in Turkey, we know that some arms sales meant for Turkey
and Israel were actually meant for resale to countries like China and
India- and perhaps even to international terrorists- using fake
end-user certificates. So
we have Turkish nationals at the Embassy and NGOs stealing U.S. secrets
for sale to the highest bidder, re-selling arms meant for Turkey, bringing
in drugs from Europe, and pouring money into bribes and lobbying
activities. To
understand how these activities fit together- Americans must first
understand what Europeans call the Turkish ‘deep state’.
In 1996, a car
crash in a town called Susurluk revealed “link
between politics, organized crime and the bureaucracy” in Turkey.
As it turns out, its crippled economy in the 1990s meant Turkey had
become the European equivalent of Colombia- a state almost completely
dependent on the Turkish mafia and by extension, the Southwest Asian
Heroin trade. Which is where
the Turkish ‘deep state’ comes in- it becomes very difficult to
determine where the ‘government’ ends and the ‘mafia’ begins.
What we do know from Sibel Edmonds and other sources is this: Turkey’s
secular establishment, including the Turkish military and intelligence
services (MIT), as well as political parties associated with former
Prime Minister Tansu Ciller, appear to have been more connected to the
Turkish mafia than the Turkish Islamic Parties that Washington
abhors. Furthermore, it
appears from reading into some of Edmonds’ statements that the Turkish
mafia was partnered with Osama Bin Laden’s al Qaeda network in the drug
trade- meaning Turkey’s secular establishment was more connected to al
Qaeda- pre/9-11- than were the Islamists in Turkey.
Which is quite ironic, to say the least. If
you think this story sounds too convoluted to be true, and you feel the
instinct to dismiss Edmonds’ claims, think again.
Every investigation into the whistleblower’s charges- from the
Senate Judiciary Committee to the Department
of Justice’s Inspector General Report, has found that Edmonds’
story is corroborated within the FBI, which means her translations, not
those of Melek Can Dickerson, were the correct
ones. This also means that
the aforementioned Turkish organizations, and certain Turkish diplomats, were
indeed under FBI
investigation. And all
this put together means that people like
Dennis Hastert probably were- and perhaps still are-
on the payroll of Turkish ‘deep state’ interests. A recent
article published in the U.K. Guardian about the well-connected
Kurdish Baybasin clan also gives important backing to the former
translator’s story. The
article details how Europe’s
“Pablo Escobar”, Huseyin Baybasin, has “alleged that he
had received the assistance of Turkish embassies and consulates while
moving huge consignments of drugs around Europe, and that Turkish army
officers serving with NATO in Belgium were also involved." This
information, of course, dovetails most precisely with what Sibel Edmonds
has been hinting at for over 3 years now; that targets of FBI
investigations linked with the Turkish embassy and Turkish organizations
were involved in narcotics trafficking.
It is clear the Baybasin gang and the secular factions in Turkey
had a seemingly symbiotic relationship, with the government providing the
traffickers diplomatic passports and thus free reign to travel around the
world without fear of prosecution. Also
involved in the scandalous Turkish drug running are the very notorious, Pope-killing
Grey Wolves, a fascist organization connected to human rights abuses
in Turkey. As
for who else besides Hastert might have been on the payroll of Mr.
Baybasin and friends- we turn next to the Executive Branch.
In an
interview with Chris Deliso of antiwar.com, Edmonds hinted at key
roles played by some powerful unelected officials-important
Neoconservatives like Marc
Grossman of the State Department, and Richard
Perle and Douglas
Feith, formerly of the Defense Department.
If we hit the rewind button and go back to a CBS
60 Minutes’ interview in October, 2002, we remember the ex-contract
linguist stated that Turkish targets of FBI
investigation had spies inside the U.S. State Department and at the
Pentagon in order to “obtain the United States military and intelligence
secrets.” It
doesn’t take a genius to conclude that Grossman, Feith and Perle might
have been the persons to whom she was referring in 2002.
Furthermore, the language specialist has repeatedly stated in past
interviews that investigations into pre-9/11 terrorist financing
activities were blocked “per
State Department request”, leaving open the question whether it was
Mr. Grossman, then Undersecretary of State for European Affairs, who
actively hindered investigations into the Turkey-Bin Laden link. Perle
and Feith are an interesting case in this hidden scandal.
Their consultancy, International
Advisors (IA), has done extensive work for the Republic of Turkey,
though it is questionable who
is paying the invoices. Ms.
Edmonds rhetorically asked the question of Phoenix radio personality
Charles Goyette in January 2006, “For what [were they paid]?
One could imagine, hypothetically, that passing state secrets might
be one “service” provided to the Turkish mafia/government by IA.
But would Perle and Feith have gone beyond that?
Would they have introduced the Turkish mafia types to Denny Hastert,
and counseled “deep state” interests in how to skirt U.S. campaign
finance laws? After all, the
Turks were reported to have made their initial payments from 1996-1998
through “unitemized (less than $200) contributions”, after which they
allegedly delivered suitcases of cash to the Speaker’s front door.
Someone had to teach them the intricacies of campaign finance law:
was it IA? What we do know is
that Perle was a key architect of the Israeli/Turkish alliance forged in
the late 90s, and that Edmonds case also is connected
to the AIPAC spy scandal- leaving lots of room for speculation on how
the rest of the story pans out. As messy and
ugly as this, for lack of a better phrase, “Turkish DeepState Gate”
scandal appears, the consequences of continuing to do nothing about it- of
allowing the government’s outrageous use of ‘state secrets’ to
insure Dennis Hastert, Richard Perle, Douglas Feith, Marc Grossman and
others are never investigated, could be horrific.
Ms. Edmonds plans to take petitions
to the Senate Judiciary Committee in the coming months to finally force
full and open hearings on her case. She
will try to do the type of lobbying that does not involve foreign bribery
or ill-gotten gains. This
will be the simple type of petitioning guaranteed of every citizen in the
Constitution under the First Amendment, a long forgotten
portion of the Bill of Rights. Americans
aware of the situation can only hope, and do everything in their power to
insure, that Ms. Edmonds’ type of lobbying prevails.
|
| Bob
Woodward, book, The War Within: A Secret White House
History 2006-2008, According to Simon & Schuster, Woodward's
book "takes readers deep inside the White House, the Pentagon,
the State Department, the intelligence agencies and the U.S.
military headquarters in Iraq. .... traces the
internal debates, tensions and critical turning points in the Iraq
War during an extraordinary two-year period" ...
release date: Sept 8, 2008, Robert "Bob"
Upshur Woodward, assistant managing editor, Washington Post,
investigative reporter, ... Carl Bernstein, search terms: uncover
Watergate, Nixon, resignation, 12 best-selling books, Pulitzer
Prize, served in the Navy as an aid to Chief of Naval Operations,
Moorer, met Mark Felt, FBI Assistant Director, deepthroat, inside
source on Watergate, book 'The Secret Man', DNC convention,
1972, wrote All the President's Men, Redford Hoffman movie, Ben
Bradlee, editor, reporting on 'Nixon dirty tricks, Woodward
interviewed Bush 43 four times, books: Bush at War, Plan of
Attack, State of Denial: Bush at War, Part III, with Dan Balz,
Camp David, Worldwide Attack Matrix, too close to Bush, Kerry,
involvement in Plame scandal: deposition to Fitzpatrick, told him
senior administration official leaked Plame identity to him in June
2003, November 2005 article revealed his special knowledge, casual,
offhand by Armitage, part of confidential conversation of a
'source', asked Libby questions about Armitage, interview on CNN
Larry King, junkyard dog prosecutor, consequences of Plame outing
not that great, Downie, inaccuracies, inconsistencies,
exaggerations, fabrications in books: John Dean and Ed Gray: Felt
not the only deepthroat, also Donald Santarelli. Brad DeLong: in Maestro
and The Agenda, The Choice, Clinton Whitewater
inconsistencies, abandon critical inquiry to maintain access to
high-profile actors, for glory, stenographer to the rich and
powerful, At the Eye of the Storm, see Maureen Dowd, and The
Brethren, and his sitting on information for publication of a
book, The Commanders ...Powell opposed Operation Desert
Storm, published after war voted for in Congress, and Veil
he did not reveal that William Casey knew of arms sales to the
Contras until after the investigations, and see Martin Dardis ...
Watergate burglars, and Committee to Re-elect the President, ...and
accused of fabricating deathbead interview with Casey, ... Reagan
called him a liar, for whatever that's worth, and other books: Wired,
Shadow,
Aug 19: buzz: likely to propel re-examination of the Iraq War into the headlines, for fall presidential campaign, Hadley encouraged participation, interviews with Bush, Cheney, Rice, Gates, ... publisher: Simon & Schuster, Amazon, Alice Mayhew, and see CBS, Viacom, 496 pages, 900,000, red, white, blue, gold cover, administration infighting, will be best seller, he'll be on 60 minutes, Sept 7, How does Woodward, Miller, Cheney, Libby fit with declassifying classified information to hype the war?.. Woodward was leaked Plame info in June 03, but sat on it for years, ... John Bolton, Marc Grossman are the neo-con links to Turkey, and Plame / Edmonds working on uncovering WMD proliferation, black market activities of Bushco. Seymour Hersh, on Chain of Command NYTimes "We now have two major accounts of the road to war in Iraq, Hersh's ''Chain of Command'' and Bob Woodward's ''Plan of Attack.'' Hersh is the anti-Woodward. Woodward is official scribe to the inner sanctum, and his access -- to Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld and Powell -- gives his account real authority, but at a price. In Woodward's world, everything is what the principals say it is. In Hersh's world, by contrast, nothing the policy elites say is true actually is. SourceWatch Lt. Gen. David H. Petraeus is "the top American military commander in Iraq, part of a broad revamping of the military team that will carry out the administration's new Iraq 'surge' strategy." [1][2] Petraeus replaced Gen. George W. Casey, Jr., who was confirmed February 6, 2007, by the U.S. Senate, as Army Chief of Staff. ... Petraeus, who has "served two previous tours in Iraq", "sees the need for additional troops in Baghdad." He "helped oversee the drafting of the military’s comprehensive new" Counterinsurgency Field Manual published December 2006. [3] ... On September 8, 2005, Lt. Gen. Petraeus left Iraq "after handing off command" of the Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq, which he had commanded for 15 months. [4] He most recently served as Commander of the U.S. Army Combine Arms Center at Fort Leavenworth, Kansas. [5] New York Sun Aug 26 ".... speculation is surging that it will portray the latest phase of the war in Iraq as a success, credited to the recently departed commander of forces there, General David Petraeus. ... one source familiar with an early draft said Mr. Woodward had extensive access to General Petraeus and his deputies, known in the military as the "Jedi Council." Mr. Woodward also interviewed the head of the Anbar Awakening, Sheik Ahmad al-Rishawi, who took over the Sunni Arab uprising against Al Qaeda in Iraq after his brother was assassinated last September." Examiner "Woodward is also known for his Pulitzer Prize -winning reporting with fellow Washington Post writer Carl Bernstein . In the 1970s, they collaborated on the groundbreaking stories of the Watergate scandal that helped bring down Richard Nixon and on two best sellers about the Nixon administration, "All the President's Men" and "The Final Days." he can pry the facts from the most unlikely sources.
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